Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kupari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Kupari
Gourde
Last 10: Kupari 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kupari
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Kupari
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
4
3
Kupari
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.1%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
57.4% (376)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
39.9% (554)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Kupari shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Kupari
Gourde
Home
51.4% (782)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
49.2% (655)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kupari
Gourde
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
47.4%
P3
52.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |