Casey Mittelstadt vs Reese Johnson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Johnson 50.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 94.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 70.7%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 5-0 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.0% (196)
-5.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
50.0% (2)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
42.9% (14)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Johnson
Home
47.2% (193)
48.8% (125)
Away
42.9% (259)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Johnson
P1
49.0%
54.2%
P2
45.7%
44.2%
P3
38.8%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |