Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 65.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.0%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Johnson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Johnson
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (51)
53.2% (1,166)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
48.4% (221)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Johnson shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Johnson
Thomas
Home
56.3% (32)
51.6% (830)
Away
49.0% (49)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Johnson
Thomas
P1
55.6%
52.7%
P2
48.0%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |