Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 67.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Johnson
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (196)
48.9% (352)
+2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
42.2% (45)
+0.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Johnson is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Johnson shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Johnson
Carrick
Home
48.8% (125)
46.9% (192)
Away
52.9% (87)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Johnson
Carrick
P1
54.2%
48.1%
P2
44.2%
50.0%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%