Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 65.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Johnson
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (51)
53.9% (521)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
51.5% (229)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Johnson shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Johnson
Carrick
Home
56.3% (32)
52.7% (408)
Away
49.0% (49)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Johnson
Carrick
P1
55.6%
51.4%
P2
48.0%
56.6%
P3
51.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%