Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 52.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 55.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 52.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Johnson
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (186)
49.2% (307)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
66.7% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
48.2% (56)
-10.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Johnson is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Johnson shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Johnson
Carrick
Home
51.6% (95)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.2% (131)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Johnson
Carrick
P1
46.7%
41.0%
P2
50.5%
51.2%
P3
58.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%