Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 72.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Greig
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Greig
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Greig
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
51.3% (628)
-6.1%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
68.3% (41)
-39.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
30.6% (49)
-2.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Greig shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Greig
McLeod
Home
46.4% (196)
51.5% (394)
Away
41.9% (253)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Greig
McLeod
P1
40.8%
51.5%
P2
46.4%
47.0%
P3
43.9%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |