Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs McLeod 52.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Greig
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Greig
McLeod
Last 10: Greig 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
1
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Greig
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Greig
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
52.9% (904)
+0.7%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
57.6% (59)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
49.0% (241)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Greig shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Greig
McLeod
Home
56.2% (185)
51.8% (612)
Away
53.3% (195)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Greig
McLeod
P1
52.8%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
50.8%
P3
59.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |