Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.6%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Greig wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 55.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Greig
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Greig
McLeod
Last 10: Greig 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
2
Greig
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
2
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
50.4% (3,345)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
51.0% (292)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
44.3% (635)
+2.2%
On power play, Greig has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Greig shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Greig
McLeod
Home
49.8% (681)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
47.7% (698)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Greig
McLeod
P1
46.3%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
48.4%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
28.6%
37.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |