Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Greig wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 70.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 68.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 69.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Greig
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Greig
Poehling
Last 5: Greig 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Greig
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
50.4% (752)
-5.2%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
37.0% (27)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
45.3% (159)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Greig shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Greig
Poehling
Home
46.4% (196)
51.2% (467)
Away
41.9% (253)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Greig
Poehling
P1
40.8%
54.6%
P2
46.4%
46.7%
P3
43.9%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |