Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs Poehling 50.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 59.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Greig
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Greig
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Greig
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
52.6% (622)
+1.0%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
58.3% (12)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
39.8% (103)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Greig shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Greig
Poehling
Home
56.2% (185)
53.2% (393)
Away
53.3% (195)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Greig
Poehling
P1
52.8%
50.9%
P2
51.6%
56.2%
P3
59.5%
46.1%
Final 5 min
58.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |