Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.1%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs Poehling 48.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 59.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 52.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Greig
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Greig
Poehling
Last 8: Greig 2-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Greig
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Greig
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
49.4% (2,726)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
51.6% (93)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
41.6% (623)
+4.9%
On power play, Greig has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Greig shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Greig
Poehling
Home
49.8% (681)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
47.7% (698)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Greig
Poehling
P1
46.3%
50.9%
P2
51.2%
47.0%
P3
48.8%
46.9%
OT
28.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |