Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 67.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 54.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Greig
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Greig
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Greig
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
53.9% (521)
-8.7%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
57.1% (35)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
51.5% (229)
-22.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Greig shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Greig
Carrick
Home
46.4% (196)
52.7% (408)
Away
41.9% (253)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Greig
Carrick
P1
40.8%
51.4%
P2
46.4%
56.6%
P3
43.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |