Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 50.6% vs Carrick 53.8% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Greig 54.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 52.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Greig
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (336)
55.1% (439)
-3.6%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
49.1% (53)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Greig shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Greig
Carrick
Home
50.2% (247)
58.2% (225)
Away
51.5% (194)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Greig
Carrick
P1
46.9%
56.7%
P2
58.8%
52.8%
P3
48.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%