Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 65.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Greig
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Greig
Monahan
Last 8: Greig 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Greig
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
52.4% (853)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
58.6% (174)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
46.5% (144)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Greig shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Greig
Monahan
Home
56.2% (185)
53.4% (624)
Away
53.3% (195)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Greig
Monahan
P1
52.8%
53.7%
P2
51.6%
52.4%
P3
59.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |