Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Greig wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs Thompson 43.7% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 58.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 93.0%
Neutral zone
Greig 81.9%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Greig
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Greig
Thompson
Last 7: Greig 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
41.9% (597)
+11.7%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
50.5% (95)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
25.0% (12)
+31.5%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Greig shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Greig
Thompson
Home
56.2% (185)
47.1% (367)
Away
53.3% (195)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Greig
Thompson
P1
52.8%
44.2%
P2
51.6%
41.6%
P3
59.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |