Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 47.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (-16.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Fabbri
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (16)
54.1% (1,117)
-4.1%
Power Play
20.0% (10)
59.8% (296)
-39.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fabbri is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Fabbri shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Hertl
Home
42.9% (14)
54.3% (709)
Away
33.3% (12)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Fabbri
Hertl
P1
25.0%
51.6%
P2
41.7%
53.6%
P3
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
20.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
38.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%