Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Fabbri wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 47.3% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.5%
Defensive zone
Fabbri 70.7%
Neutral zone
Fabbri 57.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Fabbri
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fabbri
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Fabbri
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
54.1% (717)
-9.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.9% (210)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
58.1% (31)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fabbri is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Fabbri shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Hertl
Home
49.2% (61)
58.1% (492)
Away
43.2% (95)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Fabbri
Hertl
P1
37.7%
57.1%
P2
41.9%
54.0%
P3
54.2%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
45.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |