Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 57.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 54.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 71.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 58.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Fabbri
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
57.0% (718)
-8.8%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
64.9% (188)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Fabbri is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Fabbri shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Hertl
Home
56.5% (69)
59.2% (463)
Away
60.8% (51)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Fabbri
Hertl
P1
48.6%
56.3%
P2
60.4%
55.4%
P3
65.7%
60.5%
Final 5 min
63.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%