Connor McMichael vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Thomas 51.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 73.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 69.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 71.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
McMichael
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Thomas
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McMichael
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
McMichael
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
50.1% (615)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
62.2% (98)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
52.6% (114)
-12.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thomas
Home
43.0% (298)
51.9% (374)
Away
42.5% (252)
51.9% (453)
By Period
McMichael
Thomas
P1
46.5%
49.2%
P2
41.1%
55.3%
P3
41.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |