Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Thomas 44.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.1%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 51.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 58.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Vilardi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vilardi
Thomas
Last 6: Vilardi 2-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Vilardi
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
42.5% (252)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
44.4% (9)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
50.0% (2)
-2.0%
On power play, Vilardi has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Vilardi is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Vilardi shoots right. Thomas is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Thomas
Home
47.3% (330)
44.8% (125)
Away
44.4% (304)
40.6% (138)
By Period
Vilardi
Thomas
P1
49.0%
43.2%
P2
43.2%
44.6%
P3
45.7%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |