Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 50.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 74.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
McTavish
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
McTavish
Thomas
Last 9: McTavish 8-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
0
McTavish
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McTavish
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
0
McTavish
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (769)
55.3% (990)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.6% (178)
54.2% (190)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
52.5% (158)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McTavish shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
McTavish
Thomas
Home
52.3% (461)
55.1% (690)
Away
49.2% (500)
54.5% (648)
By Period
McTavish
Thomas
P1
51.5%
55.5%
P2
54.0%
56.4%
P3
47.1%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |