Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Thomas 52.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Zibanejad
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Zibanejad
Thomas
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Zibanejad
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Zibanejad
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
53.2% (1,166)
-2.3%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
56.9% (262)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
48.4% (221)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thomas
Home
51.1% (536)
51.6% (830)
Away
47.6% (576)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thomas
P1
50.1%
52.7%
P2
47.3%
55.6%
P3
50.7%
50.6%
OT
45.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |