Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Thomas 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Zibanejad
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zibanejad
Thomas
Last 9: Zibanejad 2-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
5
Zibanejad
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
55.3% (990)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
54.2% (190)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
52.5% (158)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thomas
Home
55.1% (501)
55.1% (690)
Away
49.2% (555)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thomas
P1
57.5%
55.5%
P2
50.7%
56.4%
P3
47.9%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
69.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |