Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.3% vs Thomas 49.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 82.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 78.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Johnson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johnson
Thomas
Last 6: Johnson 3-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Johnson
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
0
Johnson
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Johnson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (196)
49.0% (910)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.5% (142)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
53.3% (75)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Johnson is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Johnson shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Johnson
Thomas
Home
48.8% (125)
47.3% (514)
Away
52.9% (87)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Johnson
Thomas
P1
54.2%
50.4%
P2
44.2%
47.5%
P3
54.8%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |