Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thomas
Kuraly
Last 6: Thomas 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Thomas
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
51.8% (444)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
45.3% (150)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
51.9% (374)
54.6% (304)
Away
51.9% (453)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
49.2%
55.2%
P2
55.3%
45.7%
P3
50.6%
49.5%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |