Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Thomas
Kuraly
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
5
Thomas
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
52.3% (982)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
41.9% (43)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
39.2% (245)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
47.3% (514)
50.3% (680)
Away
52.0% (613)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
50.4%
49.5%
P2
47.5%
49.6%
P3
51.4%
49.0%
OT
61.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |