Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 84.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
11
(32 meetings)
21
11
Thomas
Kuraly
Last 10: Thomas 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
12
0
Thomas
Kuraly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
9
Thomas
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
2
Thomas
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
56.0% (100)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
44.2% (1,086)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
50.9% (3,458)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
50.6%
51.1%
P2
52.9%
49.9%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
59.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |