Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.3%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Thomas
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
55.3% (515)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
55.6% (9)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
44.8% (58)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
55.1% (690)
57.3% (293)
Away
54.5% (648)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
55.5%
53.8%
P2
56.4%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
57.6%
OT
69.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |