Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Thomas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Thomas
Monahan
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
8
5
Thomas
Monahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Thomas
Monahan
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
53.7% (2,580)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
46.0% (766)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Thomas shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Thomas
Monahan
Home
50.9% (3,458)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Thomas
Monahan
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
52.9%
51.7%
P3
50.8%
51.0%
OT
59.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |