Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 68.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Thomas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Thomas
Monahan
Last 10: Thomas 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
2
Thomas
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
2
Thomas
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
57.1% (871)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
53.1% (262)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
44.6% (139)
+3.8%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Thomas shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Thomas
Monahan
Home
51.6% (830)
55.3% (644)
Away
54.7% (819)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Thomas
Monahan
P1
52.7%
53.9%
P2
55.6%
55.3%
P3
50.6%
54.4%
OT
61.5%
76.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |