Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Monahan 53.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 55.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Thomas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Thomas
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Thomas
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
54.5% (231)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
58.2% (67)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
52.2% (23)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Thomas
Monahan
Home
53.6% (606)
53.5% (144)
Away
52.2% (615)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Thomas
Monahan
P1
48.2%
52.5%
P2
55.3%
50.9%
P3
55.2%
60.8%
OT
47.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |