Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Thomas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Thomas
Monahan
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Thomas
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
52.4% (853)
+2.9%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
58.6% (174)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
46.5% (144)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Thomas
Monahan
Home
55.1% (690)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.5% (648)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Thomas
Monahan
P1
55.5%
53.7%
P2
56.4%
52.4%
P3
51.5%
51.6%
OT
69.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |