Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.9% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 50.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 69.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Thomas
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Thomas
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (1,166)
46.2% (171)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.9% (262)
51.9% (54)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (221)
39.4% (127)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Thomas shoots right. Jarvis is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Thomas
Jarvis
Home
51.6% (830)
46.1% (204)
Away
54.7% (819)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Thomas
Jarvis
P1
52.7%
42.5%
P2
55.6%
42.9%
P3
50.6%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |