Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 72.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 96.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 88.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Thomas
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thomas
Jarvis
Last 5: Thomas 5-0 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
0
Thomas
Jarvis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
32.1% (81)
+23.2%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
38.6% (57)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
28.6% (14)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Thomas shoots right. Jarvis is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Thomas
Jarvis
Home
55.1% (690)
40.6% (69)
Away
54.5% (648)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Thomas
Jarvis
P1
55.5%
30.9%
P2
56.4%
30.6%
P3
51.5%
47.1%
OT
69.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |