Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 90.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 90.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 91.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Thomas
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Thomas
Jarvis
Last 7: Thomas 7-0 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
0
Thomas
Jarvis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
42.0% (352)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
43.7% (119)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
38.2% (157)
+11.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Thomas shoots right. Jarvis is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Thomas
Jarvis
Home
50.9% (3,458)
43.8% (336)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Thomas
Jarvis
P1
50.6%
39.7%
P2
52.9%
39.5%
P3
50.8%
46.1%
OT
59.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |