Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Thomas
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Thomas
Seguin
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thomas
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
5
Thomas
Seguin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Thomas
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,350)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.8% (921)
55.9% (810)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (691)
49.3% (762)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Thomas shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Thomas
Seguin
Home
50.9% (3,458)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.3% (3,504)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Thomas
Seguin
P1
50.6%
52.8%
P2
52.9%
53.3%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
59.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |