Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 61.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Thomas
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thomas
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thomas
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
56.5% (712)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
59.7% (67)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
44.9% (49)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Thomas shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Thomas
Seguin
Home
47.3% (514)
58.5% (402)
Away
52.0% (613)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Thomas
Seguin
P1
50.4%
58.4%
P2
47.5%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
61.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |