Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 44.6% vs Seguin 57.4% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 67.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Thomas
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thomas
Seguin
Last 5: Thomas 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thomas
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thomas
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (297)
59.6% (736)
-17.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
61.5% (65)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.6% (124)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thomas is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Thomas shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Thomas
Seguin
Home
40.9% (186)
60.1% (461)
Away
45.8% (131)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Thomas
Seguin
P1
43.3%
59.1%
P2
40.6%
58.9%
P3
45.3%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
42.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |