Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abols wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 54.5% vs Kozak 47.8% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 89.2%
Defensive zone
Abols 63.1%
Neutral zone
Abols 75.0%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Abols
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Abols
Kozak
Last 5: Abols 4-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
2
1
Abols
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
2
0
Abols
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (109)
46.0% (137)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.0% (5)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Abols is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Abols shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Abols
Kozak
Home
60.0% (65)
51.2% (84)
Away
56.3% (48)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Abols
Kozak
P1
58.8%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
34.7%
P3
66.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
65.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
58.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |