Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 51.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 57.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 64.0%
Neutral zone
Kozak 59.9%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Abols
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Abols
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Abols
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (293)
49.3% (294)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (40)
+0.0%
On power play, Kozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Abols shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Abols
Kozak
Home
54.7% (150)
45.5% (145)
Away
49.7% (153)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Abols
Kozak
P1
54.4%
53.4%
P2
46.3%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
44.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |