Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abols wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 53.1% vs Kozak 48.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 84.6%
Defensive zone
Abols 55.4%
Neutral zone
Abols 57.4%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Abols
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Abols
Kozak
Last 6: Abols 4-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
2
1
Abols
Kozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Abols
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
2
0
Abols
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (402)
48.3% (431)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.5% (8)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
48.9% (45)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Abols is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Abols shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Abols
Kozak
Home
56.3% (215)
47.6% (229)
Away
51.2% (201)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Abols
Kozak
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
47.3%
45.7%
P3
59.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |