Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Hintz 53.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 70.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Staal
Hintz
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Staal
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
3
Staal
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.6% (711)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
53.8% (93)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
58.7% (46)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
54.3% (667)
52.6% (460)
Away
54.7% (662)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
56.2%
59.0%
P2
57.0%
52.7%
P3
49.7%
51.1%
OT
68.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |