Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Hintz 55.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 76.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 55.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Sturm
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sturm
Hintz
Last 6: Sturm 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Sturm
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
56.3% (512)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
63.3% (30)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
45.8% (24)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Sturm
Hintz
Home
61.6% (451)
57.3% (262)
Away
58.2% (376)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Sturm
Hintz
P1
55.9%
54.8%
P2
58.9%
56.0%
P3
64.6%
57.5%
OT
70.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 5, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |