Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Buchnevich wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 42.1% vs Hintz 58.0% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 76.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Buchnevich
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Buchnevich
Hintz
Last 5: Buchnevich 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Buchnevich
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
0
Buchnevich
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (154)
58.7% (530)
-21.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
59.4% (170)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
66.7% (27)
-36.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hintz
Home
37.4% (91)
60.2% (354)
Away
37.9% (87)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hintz
P1
38.9%
58.4%
P2
31.5%
59.8%
P3
42.0%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |