Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Buchnevich wins 28.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 36.3% vs Hintz 51.6% (-22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 88.6%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 83.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 89.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Buchnevich
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Buchnevich
Hintz
Last 6: Buchnevich 0-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
Buchnevich
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Buchnevich
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (192)
52.6% (439)
-24.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
37.9% (29)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
63.6% (11)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Buchnevich shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Hintz
Home
30.4% (112)
53.5% (256)
Away
29.4% (102)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Buchnevich
Hintz
P1
27.7%
59.5%
P2
33.3%
49.2%
P3
27.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |