Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Hintz wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 52.6% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 85.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Hintz
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hintz
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Hintz
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (526)
53.2% (299)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.4% (108)
33.3% (3)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (40)
46.5% (86)
-4.0%
On power play, Hintz has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Hintz shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Hintz
Carpenter
Home
53.8% (329)
54.6% (207)
Away
52.2% (345)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Hintz
Carpenter
P1
55.6%
52.3%
P2
53.0%
51.5%
P3
51.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |