Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 55.3% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 88.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 56.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 57.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Hintz
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hintz
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (512)
48.8% (404)
+7.5%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
100.0% (1)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
43.6% (101)
+2.2%
On power play, Carpenter has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Hintz shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Hintz
Carpenter
Home
57.3% (262)
48.9% (274)
Away
55.3% (304)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Hintz
Carpenter
P1
54.8%
51.9%
P2
56.0%
49.4%
P3
57.5%
41.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |