Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 78.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 73.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hintz
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Hintz
Carpenter
Last 10: Hintz 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
3
Hintz
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Hintz
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
1
Hintz
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
49.6% (2,027)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
41.5% (41)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
43.9% (467)
+9.0%
On power play, Hintz has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Hintz shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Hintz
Carpenter
Home
54.9% (2,317)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Hintz
Carpenter
P1
55.5%
49.6%
P2
53.9%
47.7%
P3
52.7%
48.0%
OT
49.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |