Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 51.6% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 76.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Hintz
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hintz
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (439)
52.2% (366)
+0.4%
Power Play
37.9% (29)
60.0% (15)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
46.2% (104)
+17.4%
On power play, Lafferty has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hintz is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hintz shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Hintz
Lafferty
Home
53.5% (256)
53.1% (258)
Away
50.2% (223)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Hintz
Lafferty
P1
59.5%
52.5%
P2
49.2%
49.7%
P3
47.1%
51.3%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |